Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Antoine Ghibaudo		Martin Damm

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
			Watch
	3.25	1.3	Watch
	3.67	1.3
	3.43	1.28	Watch
	3.35	1.3	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.8)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoine Ghibaudo
28.6%

Martin Damm
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoine Ghibaudo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-5%)

Antoine Ghibaudo - Martin Damm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 398. Damm is ranked ATP: 208.

Ghibaudo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Damm's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ghibaudo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Damm could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ghibaudo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Andrew Fenty	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Jay Clarke - Antoine Ghibaudo	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Maxwell Exsted	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Johannus Monday - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL
- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Martin Damm - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm	Canceled ✺
19.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Johannus Monday - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Martin Damm - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Martin Damm - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0
10.09.25	Martin Damm - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2

Antoine Ghibaudo - Martin Damm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide