Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday


	Rei Sakamoto		Yibing Wu

	1	2
	2.75	1.40	Watch
	2.75	1.40
	2.80	1.42
	2.85	1.44
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.82	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.38)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
34.1%

Yibing Wu
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yibing Wu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rei Sakamoto - Yibing Wu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 149. Wu is ranked ATP: 101.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Wu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakamoto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Alex Molcan - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWWW
- Yibing Wu
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.26	Thijs Boogaard - Yibing Wu	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Flavio Cobolli - Yibing Wu	3:0 ✺
25.05.26	Yibing Wu - Marcos Giron	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Yibing Wu - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW

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