Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Alex Molcan		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.8	Watch
	1.4	3.14
	1.4	2.87	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	2.89 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
67.5%

Rei Sakamoto
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex Molcan - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Molcan is ranked ATP: 113. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 156.

Molcan is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sakamoto is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Molcan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Molcan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.21%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Jenson Brooksby - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.26	Alex Molcan - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Daniel Altmaier - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Alex Molcan - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Gianluca Cadenasso	Canceled ✺
28.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Ryan Seggerman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWW?W

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