Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Arthur Cazaux		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.36	Watch
	3.18	1.4
	3.09	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.53)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
31%

Alexander Bublik
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Cazaux's form might have worsened.

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Bublik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Cazaux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Arthur Cazaux - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Bublik (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cazaux is ranked ATP: 116. Bublik is ranked ATP: 34.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Cazaux may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bublik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cazaux won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Gstaad
18.07.25	Jerome Kym - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
14.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Alex De Minaur - Arthur Cazaux	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Adam Walton	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Gstaad
18.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jaume Munar - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Francisco Comesana	Canceled ✺
ATP Halle
22.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Arthur Cazaux - Alexander Bublik	0:3

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