Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Francisco Comesana		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.37	1.66
	2.22	1.66	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.29	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.44)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Comesana
41.5%

Alexander Bublik
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Comesana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.2%	0%	75.8%

Francisco Comesana - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Comesana will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). Bublik will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 61.2% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Comesana is ranked ATP: 74. Bublik is ranked ATP: 34.

Comesana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bublik is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bublik might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Comesana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Comesana
ATP Gstaad
17.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Francisco Comesana - Corentin Moutet	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Francisco Comesana	Canceled ✺
24.06.25	Jenson Brooksby - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWL?L
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Gstaad
17.07.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jaume Munar - Alexander Bublik	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Francisco Comesana	Canceled ✺
ATP Halle
22.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Eastbourne
24.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Francisco Comesana	Canceled

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