Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Noumea, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Daniil Glinka		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	2.26	1.58	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.22)	1.73 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
46.3%

Bernard Tomic
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Glinka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniil Glinka - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Glinka (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tomic (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 198. Tomic is ranked ATP: 192.

Glinka is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Tomic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Daniil Glinka - Tom Gentzsch	Canceled ✺
16.11.25	Daniil Glinka - Duncan Chan	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Daniil Glinka - Dan Martin	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Daniil Glinka - Jangjun Kim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?WWWW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Bernard Tomic	Tomic B. retired ✺
13.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LW?LW

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