Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Arthur Fery		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.42	1.5	Watch
	2.54	1.56
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.02)	1.5 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
37.5%

Valentin Royer
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fery's performance.

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valentin Royer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentin Royer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Arthur Fery - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fery will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Royer will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fery is ranked ATP: 166. Royer is ranked ATP: 73.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Royer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Royer is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Arthur Fery - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Arthur Fery - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Nicolas Mejia - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWL
- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Luca Nardi - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Valentin Royer - Alex Martinez	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Valentin Royer - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Valentin Royer - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

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