Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Arthur Fery

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.4	2.95	Watch
	1.39	3.23
	1.34	3.17	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.4	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	3.11 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
69.3%

Arthur Fery
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefanos Tsitsipas's performance.

Arthur Fery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Fery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fery Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 1 - 50%). Fery (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 51. Fery is ranked ATP: 174.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tsitsipas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tsitsipas might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 63.61%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Ugo Humbert - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Moez Echargui - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW
- Arthur Fery
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Arthur Fery - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Nicolas Mejia - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Arthur Fery - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Arthur Fery	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL

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