Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Miami 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Valentin Royer		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.81	2.01	Watch
	1.88	2.01
	1.76	2.01	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.82	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)	2.01 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
52.6%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentin Royer's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentin Royer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Valentin Royer - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Royer will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 69. Tirante is ranked ATP: 81.

Royer is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tirante has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Royer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.67%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 41.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Valentin Royer - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Izyan Ahmad	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
26.02.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Sebastian Dominko - Valentin Royer	✺

Valentin Royer - Thiago Augustin Tirante