Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo (Monaco), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Gabas A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Arthur Fils		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.22	4.2
	1.24	4.45
	1.24	4.45
	1.2	4.5
	1.23	4.23	Watch
	1.21	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)	4.35 ↑ (3.46)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
78.1%

Adrian Mannarino
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adrian Mannarino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adrian Mannarino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Arthur Fils - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Fils is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mannarino is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mannarino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fils is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Estoril
04.04.24	Arthur Fils - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Arthur Fils - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Arthur Fils - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Casper Ruud - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Arthur Fils - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Miami
24.03.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Adrian Mannarino - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Adrian Mannarino - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Adrian Mannarino - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.24	Adrian Mannarino - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.23	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Fils	2:0

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