Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday


	Arthur Fils		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2.13
	1.78	2.14
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.74	2.11	Watch
	1.66	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.83)	2.14 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
55.3%

Matteo Arnaldi
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	0%	17.2%

Arthur Fils - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Fils could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Casper Ruud - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Arthur Fils - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Arthur Fils - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
01.03.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Luca Van Assche - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.24	Ben Shelton - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
26.02.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.02.24	Max Purcell - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
31.08.23	Arthur Fils - Matteo Arnaldi	2:3
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	2:1

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