Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Rask C. (Den)


	Arthur Fils		Christian Garin

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.62	2.44
	1.63	2.44
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.29	Watch
	1.6	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)	2.35 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
59.3%

Christian Garin
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	0%	47.6%

Arthur Fils - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Garin will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fils will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Estoril
03.04.24	Arthur Fils - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Arthur Fils - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.24	Casper Ruud - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Arthur Fils - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Arthur Fils - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW
- Christian Garin
ATP Estoril
03.04.24	Jurij Rodionov - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.24	Benjamin Hassan - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Christian Garin - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL

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