Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday


	Casper Ruud		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.45	2.96
	1.46	2.96
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.41	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.35)	2.94 ↑ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casper Ruud
67.4%

Arthur Fils
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.9%	0%	32.1%

Casper Ruud - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ruud will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Fils will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruud: 50.6% – 85.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ruud is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fils is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ruud is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ruud won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casper Ruud
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Casper Ruud - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
02.03.24	Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Casper Ruud - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
29.02.24	Casper Ruud - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
29.02.24	Casper Ruud - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Arthur Fils - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Arthur Fils - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
01.03.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.24	Arthur Fils - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
28.07.23	Casper Ruud - Arthur Fils	0:2

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