Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Arthur Fils		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.86	Watch
	1.91	2.01
	1.99	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.91	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.9)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
49.8%

Lorenzo Musetti
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	0%	26.3%

Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Musetti will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Fils will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 30. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fils won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Arthur Fils - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Tommy Paul - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WW?LW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2

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