Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday


	Arthur Fils		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.35	Watch
	3.31	1.38
	3.01	1.39	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.33	1.37	Watch
	3.25	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
29.6%

Daniil Medvedev
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	0%	82.1%

Arthur Fils - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 21. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 6.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Medvedev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Medvedev is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.25	Marcos Giron - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Arthur Fils - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Arthur Fils - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
06.02.25	Arthur Fils - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLL
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.25	Tommy Paul - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniil Medvedev	Michelsen A. retired ✺
07.03.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Daniil Medvedev - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
25.10.23	Daniil Medvedev - Arthur Fils	2:0

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