Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Marcos Giron		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.36	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.65
	2.31	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.41	1.62	Watch
	2.36	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.4)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
40.5%

Arthur Fils
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcos Giron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Fils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	0%	75.9%

Marcos Giron - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Giron will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Fils will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 48. Fils is ranked ATP: 21.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fils will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Giron won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Marcos Giron - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Casper Ruud - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Marcos Giron - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Marcos Giron - Tommy Paul	Giron M. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWL?
- Arthur Fils
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Arthur Fils - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Arthur Fils - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
06.02.25	Arthur Fils - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Arthur Fils - Constant Lestienne	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

Upcoming Matches