Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	SporTV 3
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event


	Matteo Berrettini		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.57	1.57
	2.55	1.56	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
38.1%

Taylor Harry Fritz
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Matteo Berrettini - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Fritz will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 44. Fritz is ranked ATP: 12.

Berrettini is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fritz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fritz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fritz is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Matteo Berrettini	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
27.07.24	Hugo Gaston - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
26.07.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP US Open
26.08.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Sebastian Korda - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Mariano Navone - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP United Cup
08.01.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
12.10.21	Matteo Berrettini - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
Davis Cup World Group
20.11.19	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini	2:1

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