Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday


	Brandon Nakashima		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	3.5	1.3
	3.45	1.3
	3.61	1.32
	3.54	1.27	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.41	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.92)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
27.1%

Arthur Fils
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brandon Nakashima's form might have worsened.

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Fils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brandon Nakashima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 33. Fils is ranked ATP: 28.

In recent matches, Nakashima has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fils is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fils is the team to beat.

We predict that Fils will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nakashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Fils - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.59%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Houston
02.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Martin Damm - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Miami
27.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Tommy Paul - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Arthur Fils - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Arthur Fils - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	2:0
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	1:2
ATP Lyon
26.05.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Nakashima	2:1

Upcoming Matches