Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CINCINNATI (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday


	Arthur Fils		Zhizhen Zhang

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.55
	1.48	2.63
	1.48	2.63
	1.48	2.73
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.64	Watch
	1.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	2.64 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
64.3%

Zhizhen Zhang
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Zhizhen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Arthur Fils - Zhizhen Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Zhang will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fils is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Zhang is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fils will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fils won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Arthur Fils - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
29.07.23	Arthur Fils - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
28.07.23	Casper Ruud - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
27.07.23	Arthur Fils - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Arthur Fils - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWW
- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Maxime Cressy - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Thanasi Kokkinakis	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
02.08.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
01.08.23	Dusan Lajovic - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
29.07.23	Laslo Djere - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
22.05.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Arthur Fils	0:2
ATP Challenger
22.02.22	Arthur Fils - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0

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