Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday


	Arthur Gea		Gregoire Barrere

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.21	Watch
	1.58	2.42
			Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.59	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.2)	2.27 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
59%

Gregoire Barrere
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Gea's performance.

Gregoire Barrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gregoire Barrere might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Gea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gregoire Barrere could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Arthur Gea - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Barrere will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 1 - 50%). Barrere (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Gea (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Barrere (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 295. Barrere is ranked ATP: 366.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Barrere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gea might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.41%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
26.06.25	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Arthur Gea - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Arthur Gea - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Arthur Gea - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW
- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Benjamin Hassan - Gregoire Barrere	Barrere G. retired ✺
13.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Gregoire Barrere - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 L?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Gregoire Barrere - Arthur Gea	2:0

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