Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday


	Arthur Gea		Michael Zheng

	1	2
	2.50	1.53	Watch
	2.40	1.55
	2.48	1.54	Watch
	2.52	1.59
	2.46	1.55	Watch
	3.45	1.32
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.45	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.41)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
36.9%

Michael Zheng
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Michael Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Zheng than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Arthur Gea - Michael Zheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Zheng will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zheng: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 127. Zheng is ranked ATP: 118.

Gea has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zheng may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zheng will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Zheng will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 39.57%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Michael Zheng - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 60.43%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Los Cabos
28.07.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Alex Michelsen - Arthur Gea	Canceled ✺
19.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Liam Draxl - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 W?LWW
- Michael Zheng
ATP Los Cabos
29.07.26	Michael Zheng - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Michael Zheng	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Michael Zheng - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Michael Zheng - Alan Magadan	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Michael Zheng - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Michael Zheng - Arthur Gea	1:2

Arthur Gea - Michael Zheng: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide