Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Ugo Humbert		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.38	3.05	Watch
	1.43	3.19
	1.41	2.92	Watch
	1.41	3.00
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	3 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
68.1%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Ugo Humbert - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 28. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 63.

Humbert has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Merida Aguilar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Humbert is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Washington
30.07.26	Ugo Humbert - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Ugo Humbert - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Ugo Humbert - Zizou Bergs	2:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
28.06.26	Zizou Bergs - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Jack Draper - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Taro Daniel	Canceled ✺
ATP Umag
18.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WL?WW

Ugo Humbert - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide