Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	1.80	2.00	Watch
	1.67	2.15	Watch
	1.72	2.12	Watch
	1.61	2.26	Watch
	1.82	2.05
	1.72	2.19	Watch
	1.75	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)	2.11 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
55%

Arthur Gea
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Hubert Hurkacz - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Gea will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 1 - 50%). Gea (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Gea (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gea (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 41., and Gea is ranked ATP: 58..

Both players look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Gea could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Hubert Hurkacz - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Arthur Gea - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.3%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Learner Tien - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
29.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Martin Damm - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Arthur Gea
ATP Beijing
30.09.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Tomas Machac - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
07.09.26	Arthur Gea - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Michael Zheng - Arthur Gea	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Zachary Svajda - Arthur Gea	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW

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