Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Carnac, clay - Final

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Carnac 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Arthur Nagel		Daniel Jade

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Arthur Nagel
50.3%

Daniel Jade
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Daniel Jade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Jade than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Nagel is ranked ATP: 434. Jade is ranked ATP: 1442.

Recent performances by Nagel have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jade is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Arthur Nagel - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Maxime Chazal - Arthur Nagel	Chazal M. Retired ✺
28.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Tristan Berard	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Leo Lagarrigue	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Arthur Nagel - Sander Jong	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 ?WWWL
- Daniel Jade
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Hugo Car - Daniel Jade	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Mathys Domenc - Daniel Jade	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Adan Freire Da Silva - Daniel Jade	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Daniel Jade - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	August Holmgren - Daniel Jade	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL

Arthur Nagel - Daniel Jade