Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Arthur Weber		Hayato Matsuoka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.48
	2.70	1.42	Watch
	2.49	1.51	Watch
	2.55	1.44
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.25)	1.45 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Weber
36.1%

Hayato Matsuoka
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Weber has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Weber's form might have worsened.

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hayato Matsuoka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Weber than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Arthur Weber - Hayato Matsuoka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Weber is ranked ATP: 405., and Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 249..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Matsuoka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Matsuoka is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Weber has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Hayato Matsuoka - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Weber
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Arthur Weber	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Arthur Weber - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Arthur Weber - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Arthur Weber - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Filip Peliwo - Arthur Weber	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW
- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Jake Delaney	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Enzo Aguiard - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.12.24	Arthur Weber - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2

Arthur Weber - Hayato Matsuoka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide