Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - Final

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Aryna Sabalenka		Cori Gauff

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.34	3.3	Watch
	1.37	3.38
	1.36	3.26	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.37	3.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	3.29 ↑ (3.07)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
70.8%

Cori Gauff
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cori Gauff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.7%	0%	29.3%

Aryna Sabalenka - Cori Gauff Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 29 - 70.7%). Gauff will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 56.8% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gauff (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (1.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Gauff (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Gauff (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Gauff is ranked WTA: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 3.

In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.

Gauff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sabalenka is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Sabalenka will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Miami
26.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Caty McNally	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Cori Gauff
WTA Miami
26.03.26	Cori Gauff - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Belinda Bencic - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Sorana Cirstea - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Alycia Parks - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Finals
06.11.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Cori Gauff	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
07.06.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Cori Gauff	1:2
WTA Madrid
03.05.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Cori Gauff	2:0
WTA Finals
08.11.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Cori Gauff	0:2
WTA Wuhan
12.10.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Cori Gauff	2:1
WTA Australian Open
25.01.24	Cori Gauff - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA US Open
09.09.23	Cori Gauff - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1

Aryna Sabalenka - Cori Gauff: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide