Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday


	Aryna Sabalenka		Garbine Muguruza

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.81	1.93
	1.88	2.02
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.84	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.99)	1.97 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
51.8%

Garbine Muguruza
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Garbine Muguruza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbine Muguruza than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.9%	0%	51.1%

Aryna Sabalenka - Garbine Muguruza Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 22 - 48.9%). Muguruza will win (votes: 23 - 51.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muguruza: 36.5% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Sabalenka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Muguruza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Australian Open
13.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Serena Williams	1:2 ✺
11.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
09.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
08.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Viktoria Hruncakova	2:0 ✺
WTA Melbourne Gippsland Trophy
01.02.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Kaia Kanepi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL
- Garbine Muguruza
WTA Doha
01.03.21	Veronika Kudermetova - Garbine Muguruza	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
13.02.21	Garbine Muguruza - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
11.02.21	Garbine Muguruza - Zarina Diyas	2:0 ✺
09.02.21	Garbine Muguruza - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
08.02.21	Garbine Muguruza - Margarita Betova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Beijing
02.10.18	Garbine Muguruza - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2

Aryna Sabalenka - Garbine Muguruza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide