Match Info

Date: 22 July 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+
France	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 2


	Aslan Karatsev		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.88	1.42
	2.7	1.43
	2.97	1.45
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.95	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.5)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
33.8%

Francisco Cerundolo
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26%	0%	74%

Aslan Karatsev - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 20 - 26%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 57 - 74%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 64.2% – 83.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Karatsev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cerundolo is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cerundolo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Cerundolo to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Hamburg
21.07.22	Aslan Karatsev - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
19.07.22	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
13.07.22	Aslan Karatsev - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
12.07.22	Aslan Karatsev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Hamburg
21.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
19.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
16.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
15.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
15.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Aslan Karatsev	2:0

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