Match Info

Date: 15 July 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV


	Francisco Cerundolo		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.68	2.18
	1.65	2.16
	1.71	2.27
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.78)	2.18 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
56.3%

Aslan Karatsev
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	0%	26.9%

Francisco Cerundolo - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 49 - 73.1%). Karatsev will win (votes: 18 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 62.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Bastad
13.07.22	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
12.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Rafael Nadal	1:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP London
16.06.22	Ryan Peniston - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Bastad
13.07.22	Aslan Karatsev - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
12.07.22	Aslan Karatsev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.22	Daniil Medvedev - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
19.06.22	Jaume Munar - Aslan Karatsev	1:2 ✺
ATP Halle
14.06.22	Aslan Karatsev - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWL

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