Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Aslan Karatsev		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.72	2
			Watch
	1.68	2.02
	1.74	2.16
	1.72	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)	2.04 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
54.1%

Ilya Ivashka
45.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	0%	13.5%

Aslan Karatsev - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Users Predictions: Aslan Karatsev will win (45 of 52 users predict this - 86.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.26% – 95.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Ivashka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
20.11.20	Federico Gaio - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
19.11.20	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
18.11.20	Maximilian Marterer - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
11.11.20	Alex De Minaur - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
09.11.20	Taro Daniel - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
20.11.20	Tomas Machac - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
19.11.20	Johannes Haerteis - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
17.11.20	Matteo Viola - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Ilya Ivashka - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
06.11.20	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Aslan Karatsev - Ilya Ivashka

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Aslan Karatsev - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Preview

Form

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