Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	August Holmgren		Liam Broady

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.46	1.35
	2.98	1.34	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.94)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
30.6%

Liam Broady
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Liam Broady has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for August Holmgren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liam Broady, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

August Holmgren - Liam Broady Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 188. Broady is ranked ATP: 250.

Holmgren has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Broady is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Holmgren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Broady is the team to beat.

We predict that Broady will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Broady - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 68.4%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	August Holmgren - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Kasidit Samrej - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	James Duckworth - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
08.04.26	Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Jie Cui - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WW?LW
- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Liam Broady - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Liam Broady - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Liam Broady - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Liam Broady - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Andre Ilagan - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL

August Holmgren - Liam Broady: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide