Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - Final

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Dalibor Svrcina		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.08	1.81
	2.22	1.66	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalibor Svrcina
44.2%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Dalibor Svrcina - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Svrcina will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tirante will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Svrcina (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tirante (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Svrcina (3.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Svrcina (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tirante (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Svrcina is ranked ATP: 115. Tirante is ranked ATP: 135.

Svrcina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tirante's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Svrcina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.99%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Ignacio Buse - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Alexis Galarneau - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Matteo Gigante - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.06.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Dalibor Svrcina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2
ATP Challenger
26.10.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0

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