Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.18	1.6	Watch
	2.35	1.52	Watch
	2.7	1.5
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.96)	1.54 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
39%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stanislas Wawrinka's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stanislas Wawrinka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Tirante will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wawrinka: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tirante (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 23.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 152. Tirante is ranked ATP: 135.

Wawrinka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tirante has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Rio Noguchi - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Cleeve Harper	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
23.07.25	Damir Dzumhur - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Matteo Gigante - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	James Kent Trotter - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WW?LW

Stanislas Wawrinka - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide