Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Ilia Simakin

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.94
	1.77	1.98	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.92	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
50.1%

Ilia Simakin
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Beibit Zhukayev - Ilia Simakin Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Zhukayev will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Simakin will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Simakin: 42% – 87.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Zhukayev (1.87) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ilia Simakin will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhukayev (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Simakin (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 191. Simakin is ranked ATP: 236.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zhukayev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Beibit Zhukayev - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.66%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Ilia Simakin - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.34%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Ignacio Buse - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWW
- Ilia Simakin
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Ilia Simakin - Tung-Lin Wu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Ilia Simakin - Adria Soriano Barrera	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Ilia Simakin - Iker Urribarrens Ramirez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Beibit Zhukayev - Ilia Simakin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide