Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Belinda Bencic		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.38	3.1
	1.39	3.35
	1.39	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.39	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.31)	3.18 ↓ (3.45)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belinda Bencic
69.7%

Hailey Baptiste
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belinda Bencic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hailey Baptiste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Belinda Bencic - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bencic will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Baptiste will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bencic: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bencic is ranked WTA: 12. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 32.

Bencic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Baptiste has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Baptiste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bencic is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belinda Bencic
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Petra Marcinko	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Marie Bouzkova	Canceled ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.26	Madison Keys - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWL?W
- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Kaitlin Quevedo	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
16.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Iryna Shymanovich	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Jessika Ponchet	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.26	Hailey Baptiste - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL

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