Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Sweden	TV4, TV4 Tennis
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2


	Ben Shelton		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.89	1.89	Watch
	2.06	1.85
	1.96	1.92	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.94	1.86	Watch
	1.89	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	1.88 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
49.3%

Arthur Fils
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Ben Shelton - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Fils will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 23. Fils is ranked ATP: 20.

Now both players are in good shape.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shelton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Basel
25.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
09.10.24	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Arthur Fils
ATP Basel
25.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Arthur Fils - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.24	Arthur Fils - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
29.09.24	Arthur Fils - Ben Shelton	2:1
ATP Laver Cup
22.09.23	Arthur Fils - Ben Shelton	0:2

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