Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - Final

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Arthur Fils		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.65
	2.37	1.64
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.52	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.56)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
39.6%

Ugo Humbert
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	0%	90.5%

Arthur Fils - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 24. Humbert is ranked ATP: 18.

Fils in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Humbert is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Humbert will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Humbert to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1:8 (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Ugo Humbert - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Tokyo
30.09.24	Arthur Fils - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Arthur Fils - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Arthur Fils - Matteo Berrettini	Berrettini M. retired ✺
26.09.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WW?WW
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Tokyo
30.09.24	Tomas Machac - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Ugo Humbert - Jack Draper	Draper J. retired ✺
27.09.24	Brandon Nakashima - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.24	Ugo Humbert - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Ugo Humbert - Arthur Fils	2:0
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.24	Ugo Humbert - Arthur Fils	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.23	Ugo Humbert - Arthur Fils	2:1
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Ugo Humbert - Arthur Fils	2:0

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