Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 3
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Colombia	ESPN 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Peru	ESPN 3
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Learner Tien		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.70	1.45
	2.7	1.46	Watch
	2.92	1.48
	2.75	1.47	Watch
	2.8	1.44	Watch
	2.67	1.5	Watch
	2.75	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.62)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
34.7%

Ben Shelton
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Learner Tien - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Shelton will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 19. Shelton is ranked ATP: 10.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shelton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Shelton will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tien won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ben Shelton - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 63.71%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Montreal
11.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Learner Tien - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Learner Tien - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Learner Tien - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Adrian Mannarino - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL
- Ben Shelton
ATP Montreal
11.08.26	Jakub Mensik - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Joao Fonseca - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Jenson Brooksby - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
31.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Ben Shelton - Learner Tien	1:2
ATP Mallorca
25.06.25	Ben Shelton - Learner Tien	0:2

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