Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ACAPULCO (MEXICO), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	Ben Shelton		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.48	2.87
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
66.4%

Matteo Arnaldi
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ben Shelton - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arnaldi: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shelton will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Daniel Evans - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.24	Ben Shelton - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
09.02.24	Jordan Thompson - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
07.02.24	Michael Mmoh - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.24	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Acapulco
26.02.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.02.24	Max Purcell - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.24	Rinky Hijikata - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
12.02.24	Yoshihito Nishioka - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.24	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Arnaldi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWL

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