Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Reilly Opelka		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.32	1.59	Watch
	4.67	1.19	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.41	1.58	Watch
	2.42	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.22)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
35.5%

Tommy Paul
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reilly Opelka's form might have worsened.

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tommy Paul will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tommy Paul will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 62. Paul is ranked ATP: 21.

Paul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paul will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Opelka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Adelaide
11.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
07.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Joao Fonseca	Canceled ✺
ATP Athens
03.11.25	Reilly Opelka - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLW?L
- Tommy Paul
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	3:2 ✺
28.08.25	Nuno Borges - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
26.08.25	Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
07.02.25	Tommy Paul - Reilly Opelka	2:0
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
08.05.20	Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul	2:1
ATP Challenger
16.11.18	Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul	2:1

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