Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Ben Shelton		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.24	4.00
	1.23	4.20
	1.25	4.50
	1.26	4.01	Watch
	1.23	4.45
	1.25	4.16	Watch
	1.23	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↑ (1.16)	4.24 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
77.4%

Denis Shapovalov
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.8%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ben Shelton - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 38.5 Games - over (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 9. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 48.

Shelton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Shapovalov has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Shelton is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shelton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Ben Shelton - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Ben Shelton - Tallon Griekspoor	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Ben Shelton - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
13.08.26	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Learner Tien - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Denis Shapovalov - Luca Van Assche	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Denis Shapovalov - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Zachary Svajda - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
14.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	1:2
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	0:2
ATP Washington
02.08.24	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	Shelton B. awarded
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	2:3

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