Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
			Watch
	1.31	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.4
	1.3	3.38	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.34	3.32	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.49)	3.24 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
70.9%

Shintaro Mochizuki
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benjamin Bonzi's performance.

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benjamin Bonzi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shintaro Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: Benjamin Bonzi will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benjamin Bonzi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 111. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 130.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bonzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bonzi could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.47%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Alexander Blockx - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Justin Engel - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Daniil Glinka - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
21.02.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ghanim Al-Sulaiti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide