Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.31	3.15
	1.32	3.56
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	3.19 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
70.3%

Alex Bolt
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benjamin Bonzi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Benjamin Bonzi - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bolt will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 111. Bolt is ranked ATP: 167.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bolt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bonzi might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	Valentin Royer - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Alexander Blockx - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWL
- Alex Bolt
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Alex Bolt	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Alex Bolt - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Darwin Blanch - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Omar Jasika - Alex Bolt	Jasika O. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWW?

Benjamin Bonzi - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide