Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyon 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Benjamin Bonzi		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.15	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.32	Watch
	3.2	1.37
	3.1	1.37	Watch
	3.1	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.21)	1.35 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
30%

Tommy Paul
70%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.1%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Benjamin Bonzi - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 100., and Paul is ranked ATP: 15..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bonzi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Paul is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Bonzi has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:6 (averaging 0:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 70.86%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Lyon
20.10.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.10.26	Mika Brunold - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
12.10.26	Hugo Grenier - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Benjamin Bonzi - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Karen Khachanov - Benjamin Bonzi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL
- Tommy Paul
ATP Shanghai
16.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Tommy Paul - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Tommy Paul - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Tommy Paul - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
29.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
13.06.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Tommy Paul	0:2
ATP Miami
24.03.22	Tommy Paul - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0
ATP Adelaide 2
11.01.22	Tommy Paul - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0

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