Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Tommy Paul		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.66	2.23
	1.49	2.58
	1.63	2.15
	1.68	2.23	Watch
	1.65	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.63)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
57.9%

Valentin Vacherot
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Tommy Paul - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 17., and Vacherot is ranked ATP: 14..

In recent outings, Paul has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Vacherot is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Paul could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Paul is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.89%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Tommy Paul - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
29.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
06.09.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	2:3 ✺
02.09.26	Dino Prizmic - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Sebastian Baez - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
05.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alexander Blockx	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWWW

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