Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KOBE (JAPAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Blake Ellis		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.2	1.58
	2.24	1.6
	2.24	1.6
	2.2	1.62
	2.19	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.07)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
42.5%

Naoki Nakagawa
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Blake Ellis - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ellis will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Nakagawa will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ellis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ellis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
08.11.23	Benjamin Hassan - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	James Kent Trotter - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Blake Ellis - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Blake Ellis - Jie Cui	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Luke Saville - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWL
- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
07.11.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Yuto Oki	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Hiroki Moriya - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
25.10.23	Seong Chan Hong - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.02.23	Blake Ellis - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2

Blake Ellis - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide