Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Blake Ellis		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	3.94	1.28
	3.16	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.49	1.26	Watch
	3.66	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
26.2%

Tristan Schoolkate
73.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blake Ellis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tristan Schoolkate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Blake Ellis - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 518. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 114.

Ellis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Schoolkate is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Schoolkate is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Schoolkate will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ellis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
06.02.26	Blake Ellis - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Fajing Sun - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Blake Ellis - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Blake Ellis - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLL
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
05.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Li Tu - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Moerani Bouzige - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Corentin Moutet	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Kooyong Men
14.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.03.23	Blake Ellis - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Anton Shepp - Blake Ellis	✺
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Jie Cui	✺

Blake Ellis - Tristan Schoolkate