Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kia Arena (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	22:40	ESPN
Belgium	02:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:40	HBO Max
Brazil	22:40	ESPN
Bulgaria	03:40	HBO Max
Canada	20:40	RDS App
Colombia	20:40	ESPN
Croatia	02:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	02:40	HBO Max
Denmark	02:40	HBO Max
Finland	03:40	HBO Max
France	02:40	HBO Max
Hungary	02:40	HBO Max
Mexico	19:40	ESPN
Moldova	03:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	02:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	02:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	02:40	HBO Max
Norway	02:40	HBO Max
Peru	20:40	ESPN
Poland	02:40	HBO Max
Romania	03:40	HBO Max
Serbia	02:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	02:40	HBO Max
Spain	02:40	HBO Max
Sweden	02:40	HBO Max
United Kingdom	01:40	Discovery+
Usa	20:40	ESPN USA
Venezuela	21:40	ESPN


	Tristan Schoolkate		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.35	1.33	Watch
	3.19	1.35	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.57	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.16)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
28.5%

Corentin Moutet
71.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Tristan Schoolkate - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Moutet will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 97. Moutet is ranked ATP: 34.

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moutet is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
Exhibition Kooyong Men
14.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
ATP Metz
01.11.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Dan Added	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Corentin Moutet - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLW

Tristan Schoolkate - Corentin Moutet

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Tristan Schoolkate - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Preview

Form

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