Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Kia Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Tristan Schoolkate		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.35	1.33	Watch
	3.19	1.35	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.57	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.16)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
28.5%

Corentin Moutet
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Tristan Schoolkate - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Moutet will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corentin Moutet will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 97. Moutet is ranked ATP: 34.

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moutet is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
Exhibition Kooyong Men
14.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
03.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
ATP Metz
01.11.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Dan Added	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Metz
04.11.25	Corentin Moutet - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLW

Tristan Schoolkate - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide