Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Spain	M+ Deportes 2, Movistar Deportes 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis


	Tomas Machac		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.56	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.59
	1.55	2.51	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	2.45 ↓ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
61.1%

Brandon Nakashima
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	0%	27.8%

Tomas Machac - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Nakashima will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 25. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 42.

Machac is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nakashima is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Machac will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Machac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Tomas Machac - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 61.42%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Acapulco
27.02.25	Learner Tien - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Daniel Altmaier - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
07.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Rinky Hijikata - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Acapulco
27.02.25	Brandon Nakashima - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Brandon Nakashima	Rune H. retired ✺
25.02.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
13.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 W?WLW

Upcoming Matches