Match Info

Date: 22 September 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Brandon Nakashima		Denis Kudla

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.28	3.7
	1.29	3.4
	1.31	3.82
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.22	4.3	Watch
	1.34	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	3.62 ↑ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
73.7%

Denis Kudla
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Denis Kudla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denis Kudla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brandon Nakashima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Kudla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.2%	0%	3.8%

Brandon Nakashima - Denis Kudla Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.75% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Nakashima is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kudla is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kudla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nakashima is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP San Diego
20.09.22	Brandon Nakashima - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
03.09.22	Brandon Nakashima - Jannik Sinner	1:3 ✺
01.09.22	Grigor Dimitrov - Brandon Nakashima	0:3 ✺
30.08.22	Brandon Nakashima - Pavel Kotov	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.22	Aslan Karatsev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL
- Denis Kudla
ATP San Diego
20.09.22	Denis Kudla - Fernando Verdasco	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.22	Denis Kudla - Dominik Koepfer	0:2 ✺
16.09.22	Denis Kudla - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
14.09.22	Denis Kudla - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
13.09.22	Denis Kudla - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
14.02.22	Brandon Nakashima - Denis Kudla	2:0
ATP Washington
05.08.21	Denis Kudla - Brandon Nakashima	2:1

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